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According to the article “The Rate of Under ascertainment of Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Infection: Estimation Using Japanese Passengers Data on Evacuation Flights” on February 4, 2020, there are logical fallacies.
OpenJournal PUBLISHERS Letter to the Editor Review of the article on "The Rate of Underascertainment of Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Infection: Estimation Using Japanese Passergers Data On Evacuation Flights" * Eric Lin, PhD, MPH, MIS* N 1150W Capitol Drive #57, San Pedro, CA 90732, USA * *Corresponding author Eric Lin, PhD, MPH, MIS N 1150W Capitol Drive #57, San Pedro, CA 90732, USA;Tel. 5625228907; E-mail: drlin2018@gmail.com Article information th th th th Received: May 5 , 2020; Revised: May 7 , 2020; Accepted: May 7 , 2020; Published: November 18 , 2020 Cite this article Lin E. Review of the article on "the rate of underascertainment of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) infection: Estimation using Japanese passergers data on evacuation flights". Epidemiol Open J. 2020; 5(1): 16. doi: 10.17140/EPOJ-5-120 ccording to the article “The Rate of Under ascertainment of Novel Finally, there is the issue of “information asymmetry from the Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Infection: Estimation Using Japanese Pas- Chinese government data when analyzing the confirmed case data”. The au- A sengers Data on Evacuation Flights” on February 4, 2020, there are logi- thor again assumed that about 9.2% of cases have been diagnosed cal fallacies. In this article, many assumptions are based on author’s and reported by the Chinese government. Nevertheless, it is a sta- own simple and optimistic view of the virus without any solid real tistical reliability issue. The article concluded that the “actual risk world evidence. The first assumption is that “human migration on the of death is therefore 0.3 to 0.6% among all infected individuals……which 1 1 epidemic dynamics of 2019-nCoV will be soon visually identifiable”1; here, may be comparable to the Asian influenza pandemic of 1957-1958”.1 The the author is basically quoting his previous article as the resource author did not mention that we do have vaccine for Asian influ- to support this statement without any case study or statistical facts enza. Again, the conclusion is repetitive with the same fallacy. At to support this statement. The author did not explain “identifi- this time, we do need additional verifiable information or possible able” in term of molecular structure. Again, the author has ignored link from China from its earliest outbreak, which might trace back the validity issue of under-reporting issue.
as early as October of 2019 for further scientific investigation by independent third party agency.
Second, the statistical estimation section, the author reap- plied the evacuation sample size conducted by Japanese authorities